Forecasting plot -adding fitting and validation area

General
1

refer to the link: How to choose a forecast for your time series – Nikolaos Kourentzes

How should i add fitting and validation area in the plot, according to the Fig. 2: ETS and ARIMA forecasts on validation set. The models are fitted only in the first part of the time series and the validation set is used only to assess their performance.

enter image description here

my dataset ( zz ) as below:

     X dataid meter_value
 2015-10-27 19:50:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:51:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:52:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:53:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:54:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:55:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:56:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:57:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:58:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 19:59:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:00:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:01:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:02:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:03:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:04:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:05:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:06:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:07:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:08:00   1103      183138
 2015-10-27 20:09:00   1103      183138
 :
 2015-12-31 23:59:00   1103      183139.3

my R code as below:

    start_time <- as.POSIXct("2015-10-27 19:50",format="%Y-%m-%d %H:%M")
    end_time   <- as.POSIXct("2015-10-27 23:59",format="%Y-%m-%d %H:%M")

    zoo_obj <- zoo(zz$meter_value,
      order.by = seq.POSIXt(from = start_time, to = end_time ,by = "min"))

    str(zoo_obj)
    #‘zoo’ series from 2015-10-27 19:50:00 to 2015-10-27 20:09:00
    #  Data: num [1:20] 183138 183138 183138 183138 183138 ...
    #  Index:  POSIXct[1:20], format: "2015-10-27 19:50:00" "2015-10-27 19:51:00" ...

    mytsTT2 <- ts(zoo_obj)

str(mytsTT2)
#Time-Series [1:20] from 1 to 20: 183138 183138 183138 183138 183138 ...
# - attr(*, "index")= POSIXct[1:20], format: "2015-10-27 19:50:00" ...

I tried using "autoplot" autoplot(forecast(mytsTT2,1000)) enter image description here

How should i add the fitting and validation area in my autoplot?

2

Check out this SO answer re. using a background geom_rect(), which I think would work in your case.

Or this one specifically on time-series shading:

The key, however, will be making sure that your rectangle is behind your plot (which might be a bit trickier with autoplot).

I assume you're using zoo, since you're creating a df called zoo_obj, but if you need more help, please this into a self-contained reprex (short for reproducible example).

For pointers specific to the community site, check out the reprex FAQ.

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