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i want to know some information regarding time series modelling using auto.arima package..
upon counts.. like
i have 414 rows of counts for each date .
i am forecasting using auto.arima but its not getting me nearer to true match..
although its in between hi90 and lo90 but its range is far high.
i had also tried to forecast using holt winter and fourier transformation and tbats nothing getting me nearer to true match..
kindly suggest appropriate method.
my data looks like below.